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What is a p-value anyway? 34 Stories to Help You Actually Understand Statistics - PDF
What is a p-value anyway? 34 Stories to Help You Actually Understand Statistics - PDF
نویسندگان: Andrew J. Vickers خلاصه: What is a p-value Anyway? offers a fun introduction to the fundamental principles of statistics, presenting the essential concepts in thirty-four brief, enjoyable stories. Drawing on his experience as a medical researcher, Vickers blends insightful explanations and humor, with minimal math, to help readers understand and interpret the statistics they read every day. Describing data; Data distributions; Variation of study results: confidence intervals; Hypothesis testing; Regression and decision making; Some common statistical errors, and what they teach us For all readers interested in statistics.
You Are Not I: A Portrait of Paul Bowles - Original PDF
You Are Not I: A Portrait of Paul Bowles - Original PDF
نویسندگان: Millicent Dillon خلاصه: "I believe you; I just don't see it." He was being polite again."It must make you irritable, this stranger coming and telling you""I'm not irritable. I'm not an irritable person."After that day, Paul did not come again to the Villa de France to talk of Jane. He made it clear to me that he felt uncomfortable, giving an excuse about thenoise at the hotel. I had not realizedothers would tell me this laterthat in the four years since Jane's death he had become reluctant to go out to publicplaces. (Nor had it occurred to me that at the hotel he could not smoke kif, whichI was also to learnwas so helpful to him in alleviating anxiety.) Hesuggested that I interview him in his flat, saying that we could talk better there. When I mentioned that other people were usually around, makingdiscussion difficult, he said he would make the time to see me alone.And so began our daily conversations about Jane, extended conversations that went on for four or five hours at a time. Each day he waited for me tobegin. As he waited, perhaps he was steeling himself, as for an ordeal, but he never gave any direct indication that this was so. He did make it clear,however, how much he admired her work, how he regretted that it had not been adequately recognized in her lifetime.I soon learned that if I came to him with my theories about Jane's writingfor theorizing, working at an abstract level, was part of my history (part of myselfthat was often at odds with storytelling)he would listen politely, but the conversation would go nowhere. At such times hisanswers had the quality of reiteration, of having been solidified. But if I could make myself stay with the specific, a phrase in her work or in a letter she hadwritten to him, a phrase that was provocative and mysterious at the same time, something new appeared in his response: a new incident in her life, a newmemory. Then there would be a new story, a revealing that was like a skein unwinding after the proper thread had been pulled.When he responded to my questions, he was forthcoming but in a way that is difficult to describe. It has been said of Paul many times that he is verydeceptive; he even said so himself in his autobiography. Yet, listening to him, I did not have a sense of deceptionthere was withholding, yes, but not in thesense of a deliberate refusal to tell. Rather, it seemed to me that his withholding was a process akin to his method of telling a story, where what isrevealed is revealed only at the necessary moment.I was being immersed in a world of stories: her stories, his stories about her, his stories about the two of them when they were together, about the gamesthey would play together. And then there were all the other stories, the subsidiary stories surfacing around me, arising out of the world of his daily life.One afternoon as Paul and I were just about to begin work, Mrabet came into the flat and sat down. He began a story about taking Jane to the market, inwhich he featured as a central character."I take Janie with me in car. Janie buy three bottle wine, one kilo meat, chocolate. Janie like chocolate. I look [at the bill]. Seventy-five hundred francs. I toldhim [an Italian shopkeeper], with seven thousand francs I could buy" Mrabet listed in Spanish a number of items that he couldbuy with this sum. "Janie told me no. I told Janie this day, 'Shut up.'""Glad I wasn't there," Paul said."Janie became small.""Like Alice in Wonderland," Paul interjected."Italiano hit me." And then, broadening the base of his accusation, "Cherifa hit me. Ayse [a Moroccan woman who had worked for Jane] hit me.""Ay, ay, ay," said Paul."Everybody hit me. Never buy anything from Italiano.""And Ang?le?" Paul asked. Ang?le was a Spanish woman who had also worked for Jane."Ang?le hit me.""One time," noted Paul, "Janie had six servants altogether. Not all at the same time. They rotated.""Culpa," announced Mrabet loudly. "Your fault.""According to him," Paul turned to me, "everything is my fault because I didn't command her, make her do this or that. Nobody could make her doanything," he insisted.Mrabet said something about men needing to control women."All right, it's my fault. It's all over, so don't tell me it's my fault." Whereas earlier in Mrabet's story Paul had prompted him to further telling, now the tone ofhis voice was aggrieved."Besides, Mrabet," I interjected, "Paul wouldn't have wanted to tell her.""He has a different ideathe man has to command," Paul explained."In this world," Mrabet said expansively, "every woman has to have a man over her." Then he added something about Paul not having been seriousenough and supplemented it with an aside to Paul in Spanish."He says the man has to keep the bit in the mouth, otherwise the woman runs away. Never let her do what she wants, or it's too late," Paul translated."It was too late when he met her," I said."It's never too late," Mrabet pronounced and got up and lef
CliffsNotes Making Microsoft Windows Me Work For You - PDF
CliffsNotes Making Microsoft Windows Me Work For You - PDF
نویسندگان: Brian Underdahl خلاصه: Want to get started with Windows Me right away? CliffsNotes® Making Microsoft® Windows Me Work For You will get you up to speed quickly. Master the essentials of this new operating system in just a couple of days, and gain confidence in your ability to make Me work for you. This simple guide gives you the answers you need to get your work done now. Let CliffsNotes® be your shortcut solution!
Everything You Need to Know Before Buying a Co-op,Condo, or Townhouse - PDF
Everything You Need to Know Before Buying a Co-op,Condo, or Townhouse - PDF
نویسندگان: Ken Roth خلاصه: What should a prospective homeowner consider when shopping for a co-op, condominium, or townhouse? Finances, availability, and lifestyle considerations are only parts of the equation, and it's important to think about all the factors before making a decision. This book is a comprehensive yet accessible guide to the particular challenges and benefits to buying, owning, and living in these homes, and gives readers the vital information they need on: * finding the right type of home * negotiating effectively and making a strong offer * unique financing and tax considerations * dealing with homeowners associations and co-op boards * rules, rights, and responsibilities of ownership * repair responsibilities and renovation issues * monthly maintenance and common charges * increasing the value of the property * fliptaxes, restrictions and other selling issues * and more. Real estate expert Ken Roth explains the differences in owning each of these property types, and provides all the information buyers need to find their dream home and live happily in it for years to come.
English Language Learners (Issues That Concern You) - Original PDF
English Language Learners (Issues That Concern You) - Original PDF
نویسندگان: Tamara Roleff خلاصه: In Los Angeles, Chinatown is not just a tourist destinationfilled with Chinese restaurants, tailors, and specialty shops.Chinatown has spread east into the suburbs as Asian immi-grants have bought into the American dream of large homes,large yards, expensive cars, and owning their own businesses.Yet many of these immigrants feel as if they have never leftAsia. The populations of some suburbs in the valley east of LosAngeles have doubled since the early 1990s, and nearly two-thirds of the residents are Asian. Office and industrial parks areidentified by signs in Chinese. Some schools report that closeto 60 percent of their students are Asian. Mandarin is morelikely to be heard than English in retail stores. Hearing Manda-rin everywhere instead of English presents an unlikely problemfor some adult immigrants: They have no one with whom theycan practice speaking English.The same is true for immigrants from Mexico. Studies showthat Mexican immigrants tend to concentrate in specific areas,stop attending school earlier, and speak less English than otherimmigrants, although these rates do improve with subsequentgenerations. And now that Mexican immigrants are starting tosettle beyond their traditional gateway homes of California,Texas, Florida, and Illinois, spreading into mainstream America,more Americans are becoming uncomfortably aware of Mexicanimmigrants and their insular communities.Some Americans complain that although they are in theUnited States, it does not feel like it when they enter these im-migrant enclaves. Many, if not most, of the signs are in a foreignlanguage, as are most conversations. But these complaints havebeen heard since the first mass migrations to the United Statesin the first half of the nineteenth century. The Irish clusteredtogether in Boston, Italians in New York, Germans and Scandi-navians in the Midwest.
Public Speaking (Everything You Need To Know) - PDF
Public Speaking (Everything You Need To Know) - PDF
نویسندگان: Jacey Lamerton خلاصه: The very thought of standing up in front of and then addressing an audience is sufficient to fill most people with blind terror, whether it's to be a wedding speech, a work presentation or simply proposing a toast. Yet speaking effectively in public is a skill that can be learned like any other. This volume aims to teach the techniques and tips needed to overcome nerves and become an effective speaker, whatever the situation. This volume details: practical techniques needed to plan, write and present any speech successfully; advice and hints on speeches for a wide variety of occasions, from family gatherings to formal social or business events; a useful selection of quotations organized by subject; a list of the different forms of address and references to where to find inspiration on the World Wide Web. It also includes checklists and practice examples help build confidence quickly.
Ten Things I Love About You (Bevelstoke, Book 3) - PDF
Ten Things I Love About You (Bevelstoke, Book 3) - PDF
نویسندگان: Julia Quinn خلاصه: ―Annabel!‖Annabel snapped to attention. Louisa was addressing her with uncommon urgency, and she‘d dowell to listen.―Annabel, this is important,‖ Louisa said.Annabel nodded, and an unfamiliar feeling washed over her—maybe of gratitude, certainly oflove. She‘d only just got to know her cousin, but already there was a deep bond of affection, andshe knew that Louisa would do everything in her power to keep Annabel from making anunhappy alliance.Unfortunately, Louisa‘s power was, in this capacity, limited. And she did not—no, she couldnot—understand the pressures of being the eldest daughter of an impoverished family.―Listen to me,‖ Louisa implored. ―Lord Newbury‘s son died, oh, I think it must be a bit over ayear ago. And he started looking for a wife before his son was cold in his grave.‖―Shouldn‘t he have found one by now, then?‖Louisa shook her head. ―He almost married Mariel Willingham.‖―Who?‖ Annabel blinked, trying to place the name.―Exactly. You‘ve never heard of her. She died.‖Annabel felt her eyebrows rise. It was really a rather emotionless delivery of such tragic news.―Two days before the wedding she took a chill.‖―She died in only two days?‖ Annabel asked. It was a morbid question, but, well, she had toknow.―No. Lord Newbury insisted upon delaying the ceremony. He said it was for her welfare, thatshe was too ill to stand up in church, but everyone knew that he really just wanted to make sureshe was healthy enough to bear him a son.‖―And then?‖―Well, and then she did die. She lingered for about a fortnight. It was really very sad. She wasalways very kind to me.‖ Louisa gave her head a little shake, then continued. ―It was a near missfor Lord Newbury. If he‘d married her, he would have had to go into mourning. As it was, hehad already tried to wed scandalously soon after his son‘s death. If Miss Willingham hadn‘t diedbefore the wedding, he‘d have had another year of black.‖―How long did he wait before looking for someone else?‖ Annabel asked, dreading the answer.―Not more than two weeks. Honestly, I don‘t think he would have waited that long if he thoughthe could have got away with it.‖ Louisa looked about, her eyes falling on Annabel‘s sherry. ―Ineed some tea,‖ she said.
On Being Certain: Believing You Are Right Even When You're Not - PDF
On Being Certain: Believing You Are Right Even When You're Not - PDF
نویسندگان: Robert Burton خلاصه: You recognize when you know something for certain, right? You "know" the sky is blue, or that the traffic light had turned green, or where you were on the morning of September 11, 2001--you know these things, well, because you just do.In On Being Certain, neurologist Robert Burton challenges the notions of how we think about what we know. He shows that the feeling of certainty we have when we "know" something comes from sources beyond our control and knowledge. In fact, certainty is a mental sensation, rather than evidence of fact. Because this "feeling of knowing" seems like confirmation of knowledge, we tend to think of it as a product of reason. But an increasing body of evidence suggests that feelings such as certainty stem from primitive areas of the brain, and are independent of active, conscious reflection and reasoning. The feeling of knowing happens to us; we cannot make it happen.Bringing together cutting edge neuroscience, experimental data, and fascinating anecdotes, Robert Burton explores the inconsistent and sometimes paradoxical relationship between our thoughts and what we actually know. Provocative and groundbreaking, On Being Certain, will challenge what you know (or think you know) about the mind, knowledge, and reason.
The Abs Diet: The Six-Week Plan to Flatten Your Stomach and Keep You Lean for Life - PDF
The Abs Diet: The Six-Week Plan to Flatten Your Stomach and Keep You Lean for Life - PDF
نویسندگان: David Zinczenko, Ted Spiker خلاصه: Great-looking abs are more than just a way to support the mirror industry. In fact, strong abs and flat stomachs are the ultimate indicator of overall health-for both men and women. Great abs will help you live longer, sleep better, prevent back pain, and significantly improve your sex life! (And, hey, they don't look half-bad in the mirror, either.) Unfortunately, you could spend years on starvation diets and extreme exercise programs that never unearth those elusive stomach muscles.Or you could spend just six weeks with David Zinczenko, Editor-in-Chief of Men's Health magazine, on THE ABS DIET-an easy and effective program for everyone that is helping thousands of people lose weight, flatten their guts, banish post-pregnancy bellies, and become healthier than they ever thought possible. What's more, once on this revolutionary new diet you'll look and feel better than ever without deprivation dieting, counting calories, measuring foods, worrying about confusing phases-or ever feeling hungry!Sound impossible? Let David Zinczenko prove it to you. As editor-in-chief of the world's most important men's magazine, Zinczenko has devoted his career to helping people improve their lives through the latest and most well-researched health, nutrition, and exercise information available.Now, in the national bestseller THE ABS DIET, Zinczenko reveals his infallible formula that works for both men and women:>>The ABS DIET POWER foods: the 12 best foods (all part of an easy-to-remember acronym) that will naturally boost your metabolism so that you can strip away fat, build muscle, and look and feel great for life. (Bonus: Many of the Abs Diet Powerfoods are even-gasp-carbs!)>>SIMPLICITY: This low-maintenance program is easy to follow because there are no scales, no phases, no calculus-like formulas to compute, and no recipes that take a culinary degree to make. (One of the secret weapons: Satiating smoothies.) In fact, many of the dozens and dozens of delicious meals you can make take no more than a few minutes to prepare!INCENTIVE: The plan never leaves you hungry. Instead, it encourages you to eat (a whopping six times a day!), stokes your metabolism, and even lets you cheat now and then. ENERGY: Designed to help you build the lean muscle that and melt away that pesky belly fat, this full-body exercise program can be done at home in only 20 minutes, 3 times a week, with nothing more than a set of dumbbells! LONGEVITY: An easy-to-remember maintenance plan will help you maintain your flat stomach forever. Thousands of people are on THE ABS DIET, which can help you lose up to 20 pounds in six weeks-all while gaining pounds of muscle!-because it's easy to follow and even easier to stick to. THE ABS DIET also describes some of the stories of people who went on the program and had amazing successes. In those cases, these people ended up changing their waistlines-and their lives. THE ABS DIET is the best, last and only diet and nutrition plan that you will ever need.Read about how low-carb diets are making you fat, about how the food industry is putting secret fat bombs in your favorite foods, and about how you can fight back. You'll find out why 95 percent of all diets fail, and why THE ABS DIET is different.So how about joining on for a six-pack? Yours.- 12 "superfoods" that will change your life.- A simple maintenance plan to keep your abs from disappearingSix weeks to superior strength and sexy symmetry every man-and woman! -lusts after. Men's Health can show you how.
Red Fire Branding: Creating a Hot Personal Brand so that Customers Choose You! - PDF
Red Fire Branding: Creating a Hot Personal Brand so that Customers Choose You! - PDF
نویسندگان: Liz Goodgold خلاصه: How do you create a hot personal brand and have customers for life? What is the key to making your brand synonymous with success? 'Red Fire Branding' focuses on how to implement branding techniques to make your brand sizzle and your name unforgettable. In 'Red Fire Branding,' Liz Goodgold directs her works towards the business-to-business market to help small business owners, entrepreneurs, sales professionals, or anyone who is looking to create an indelible image. She offers quick and easy techniques that business owners can learn today and implement tomorrow by presenting readers with immediate, actionable solutions coupled with in-the-trenches insights delivered in a concise and cut-to-the-chase format. This book will spark new ideas that will drive sure-fire results. Learn the super hot secrets and blistering business concepts that have brought success to athletes, authors, consultants, newsmakers and even chefs. Discover how other entrepreneurs and executives have managed to add spice and interest to their brands while winning and keeping new customers and clients. Buy this book today!

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